Saturday, October 10, 2009

Brian Gets kicked out of a bar at 6:30pm

I didn't get kicked out for being too drunk. Nope, I got kicked out for "being an asshole"

Is it THAT absurd that someone would come into the bar and order the cheapest beer?

Is it THAT absurd that a patron might ask if you serve a type of beer that you have a flag of?

Is it THAT absurd that if you advertise $10 buckets "during games" and there is a football game on TV that someone might ask you if they could get it, despite the fact that it didn't say 'During Husky Games'?

Is it THAT absurd that if a bartender asks you to move out of a "fire isle" that you joke that if there was a fire you'd be the first one out?

Is it THAT absurd to ask for a refund for the half the Tall Boy of PBR that she took from me after I was cut off?

Is it THAT absurd that I'm not going to tip you after you asked me to leave the bar?

I really enjoyed the part where she got on her soapbox and explained to me that "Since I just turned 21 that I might not realize that I can't come into the bar and be an asshole to her, and that maybe I shouldn't come back until I learn to watch my smart-mouth". Well maybe if she had been doing her job and actually ID'd me, she would know that I'm less than 5 months away from being 23. This isn't my first big rodeo, cowboy.

Sunday, October 4, 2009

NFL First Quarter Results

Of my three NFL over under bets all of them are still looking like very good wagers. Remember I bet Detroit to win less than 5 games, Tampa Bay to win less than 6 and Miami to win less than 8. After the first 4 weeks of the season the three teams have a combined record of 2-10.

Detriot
To be on pace to get five games they would need 1.25 wins by now. They are at 1. They still have games against St. Louis and Cleveland, so this bet is by no means in the bag. As they just need to go 4-8 the rest of the season to make me look like a fool.

Tampa Bay
Tampa has still yet to win a game. To be on pace they would need to have 1.5 wins by now. This is a team that has been outscored by 53 points so far. For them to win they would have to go 6-6 the rest of the way. This bet is pretty safe.

Miami
Miami won their first game today. So they are now 1-3. They are also behind pace to reach 8 wins. Miami is not playing terrible football but I would be surprised if they went 7-5 the rest of the season. Especially when 4 of the remaining games are against the Jets and the Pats.

Thursday, October 1, 2009

I feel like I'm taking crazy pills!

One of the benefits of living on the west coast is that I get to watch the college football lines come out on Sunday night. Usually I have a pretty good idea about what the lines will look like. If I see a line that is far different than I expect it I know it might be a good game to bet on.

When the line came out Sunday night for the Michigan-Michigan State game I sat in awe on my floor. I had expected a Michigan -7 line. This means that Michigan was expected to win by 7 points. The actual line was only Michigan -1. I had a few guesses to why the line might be so low, but I mainly figured that the line was low because on Sunday night it appeared that Tate Forcier might be out/limited for this game. When I read that Tate was expected to be fine for the game I rushed home Monday hoping the line hadn't moved to much against Michigan. When I got home I couldn't believe it. The line had moved to Michigan +0. Basically saying you just had to pick the winner. I took line at Michigan +0 smugly thinking that the line might fall to as much as Mich -3. But I've sat in disbelief as the line keeps inching up to where it sits now at Michigan +2.5.

I FEEL LIKE I'M TAKING CRAZY PILLS. The #22 ranked undefeated Michigan team is 2.5 point underdogs against a 1-3 Michigan State squad whose sole win is against D-2 Montana State. I mean MSU was 14.5 point favorites when they lost to Central Michigan. What does Vegas see in this MSU team? That two of their O-Lineman are questionable for the game? WTF?

Also an O/U of 57.5 seems mighty low considering these are both highly offensive teams with shaky defenses. I don't think a score of 28-25 or higher is out of the question, but O/U's are tricky things to bet on so I'll hold off on this at least until a decent weather report comes out.